AccScience Publishing / AJWEP / Online First / DOI: 10.36922/AJWEP026100056
ORIGINAL RESEARCH ARTICLE

Evaluating the role of climate variability and socio-economic determinants in shaping community-based climate actions for sustainable development in Pakistan

Mushab Rashid1 Razia Sultana2 Aqil Waqar Khan3 Afshan Ali4 Ishfaq Ahmad5 Anwar Khan6 Kamran Azam7 Khalid Zaman8*
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1 Department of Management Sciences, Faculty of Management Sciences, Bahria University, Islamabad, Pakistan
2 Department of Management, College of Business, Al Yamamah University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
3 Department of Management, Faculty of Business, University of Stirling, Ras Al Khaimah Campus, Ras Al Khaimah, United Arab Emirates
4 Department of Management Sciences, Faculty of Management Sciences, University of South Asia, Lahore, Punjab, Pakistan
5 Lahore Business School, Faculty of Management Sciences, The University of Lahore, Lahore, Punjab, Pakistan
6 Department of Management Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Khushal Khan Khattak University, Karak, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan
7 Department of Management Sciences, Institute of Management Sciences, The University of Haripur, Haripur, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan
8 Department of Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences, The University of Haripur, Haripur, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan
Received: 6 March 2026 | Revised: 19 March 2026 | Accepted: 19 March 2026 | Published online: 18 May 2026
© 2026 by the Author(s). This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License ( https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ )
Abstract

Climate unpredictability threatens sustainable development and the lives of local communities in Pakistan. Empirical knowledge of how socio-economic factors affect community-based climate efforts is sparse. The study examines Pakistan’s community-based climate change initiatives from 1990 to 2022 and their environmental and socio-economic impacts. The study examined community engagement and a range of influencing factors, including carbon dioxide emissions, gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, potable water availability, precipitation, temperature change, and their interaction effects. The results of the autoregressive distributed lag model indicate that a country’s per capita income and access to clean water promote community-based initiatives in the short run. Increasing carbon emissions and climatic variability constrain these efforts in the long run. Granger causality tests indicate unidirectional relationships between income, clean water, and community climate action. The study emphasizes integrating environmental management with socio-economic development to achieve local climate resilience. It also offers policymakers sustainable community adaptation strategies to minimize the climate-induced risks in vulnerable communities.

Keywords
Climate change
Access to clean water
Environmental sustainability
Community-based climate initiatives
Pakistan
Funding
None.
Conflict of interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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