Evaluating the role of climate variability and socio-economic determinants in shaping community-based climate actions for sustainable development in Pakistan
Climate unpredictability threatens sustainable development and the lives of local communities in Pakistan. Empirical knowledge of how socio-economic factors affect community-based climate efforts is sparse. The study examines Pakistan’s community-based climate change initiatives from 1990 to 2022 and their environmental and socio-economic impacts. The study examined community engagement and a range of influencing factors, including carbon dioxide emissions, gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, potable water availability, precipitation, temperature change, and their interaction effects. The results of the autoregressive distributed lag model indicate that a country’s per capita income and access to clean water promote community-based initiatives in the short run. Increasing carbon emissions and climatic variability constrain these efforts in the long run. Granger causality tests indicate unidirectional relationships between income, clean water, and community climate action. The study emphasizes integrating environmental management with socio-economic development to achieve local climate resilience. It also offers policymakers sustainable community adaptation strategies to minimize the climate-induced risks in vulnerable communities.
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