Spatiotemporal disparities in cervical cancer screening in Hubei, China: Progress toward the World Health Organization’s 70% screening target
Introduction: Cervical cancer remains a major global health burden, while socioeconomic inequalities continue to hinder progress toward the World Health Organization (WHO)’s 70% screening target in China.
Objective: To examine the temporal trends and spatial distribution of cervical cancer incidence and screening coverage in Hubei Province, China, from 2015 to 2023, and identify geographical disparities to guide targeted public health interventions.
Methods: This retrospective, population-based study used cervical cancer screening data from the Hubei Provincial Cervical Cancer Screening Program. Temporal trends in screening coverage and detection rates were analyzed using joinpoint regression models. Spatial autocorrelation analyses, including Global Moran’s I and local indicators of spatial association, were performed to identify geographic clustering patterns.
Results: Screening coverage demonstrated a statistically significant upward trend from 2015 to 2023 (average annual percentage change [AAPC] = 28.21%, p < 0.001), with a marked acceleration in growth in 2021 (APC = 163.70%). However, only 23.7% of regions met the WHO’s target of 70% coverage, with the provincial average remaining at 52.90%. Significant spatial clustering of high screening coverage was observed throughout the study period (p < 0.05). In contrast, cervical cancer detection rates did not exhibit a significant overall upward trend (AAPC = 4.65%, p = 0.703). Spatial analysis identified emerging hotspots of elevated detection rates in 2023 (Moran’s I = 0.189, p = 0.007), primarily concentrated in the southwestern and northeastern regions.
Conclusion: This study demonstrates a significant increase in screening coverage following 2021; however, notable regional disparities persist in achieving the WHO’s 70% screening target. The analysis identifies emerging spatial hotspots that necessitate geographically tailored interventions. These findings provide a strategic framework for optimizing resource allocation to meet national and global cervical cancer elimination targets by 2030.
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