Nomogram model for mortality risk of hemangiosarcoma: A Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results population-based study
Introduction: Hemangiosarcoma is a malignancy that can develop in many parts of the human body. The overall prognosis of this disease remains unclear.
Objective: This study aims to develop and validate a prognostic model for mortality in patients with hemangiosarcoma.
Methods: Data were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Samples with critical missing values were removed. A dataset was established, which was subsequently split randomly into training and testing sets at a ratio of 7:3. Cox regression analyses of all-cause death were performed on the training set to identify statistically significant variables for developing a prognostic model. The nomogram was drawn, and the model was internally and externally validated separately.
Results: A dataset containing 4,703 patients with hemangiosarcoma was obtained. There were no statistical differences in the distributions of all variables between the training and testing sets (p > 0.05). After univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, the following variables were considered as risk factors for death in hemangiosarcoma patients (p < 0.05): age, gender, primary site, laterality, tumor size, grade, stage, first malignant primary indicator, primary site surgery (PSS), removal of regional lymph nodes, radiotherapy, and radiotherapy sequence with PSS. After including the above variables, a prognostic model was developed and presented as a nomogram (1-, 3-, and 5-year survival). The model was validated using various methods, yielding favorable results.
Conclusion: Hemangiosarcoma has a poor prognosis. The prognostic model presented in this study can be used to predict overall survival and guide more effective treatments.

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